GEO — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Price vs. growth and Room to grow. Most lacking: Balance sheet and Cash it generates.
Worth $3.7 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $36.7 B.
Sales +15% last quarter (year over year) and +9% last fiscal year · accelerating.
Gross margin 26%, operating margin 14%, return on equity 20%.
Free cash flow −$4 M a year = -0.1% of its value (burning cash).
Trades at 1.3× sales: 0.11 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net debt equal to 42% of its value.
Government contracts with firm money = 1.5% of its value · inside a Faro megatrend · insiders own 5.2%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): mid-range over 12 months (74%) · above its 200-day average · beating the S&P 500 by 59 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year GEO is up 68.9%. Over about two years: +96.7%.
- Today it sits 14.9% below its 52-week high ($32.77) and +110.3% above the low ($13.26).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 28.6%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 54% of days. Best day: +20.9%. Worst day: -14.9%.
- Annual volatility around 36%: in a normal year a ±36% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 44% | $27.93 +0.1% | $27.29 – $28.58 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 45% | $28.00 +0.4% | $26.91 – $29.14 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 46% | $28.08 +0.7% | $26.68 – $29.56 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 49% | $28.27 +1.4% | $26.29 – $30.40 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 53% | $28.70 +2.9% | $25.83 – $31.87 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 61% | $30.38 +8.9% | $25.32 – $36.44 |
Recent momentum: -13.8% over 20 days · -9.1% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 GEO government contracts
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
Detention services in los angeles aor at consolidated adelanto and desert view annex centers
💡 Worth 1.48% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $54 M. Stock since the announcement: -11.8%.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about GEO
Could GEO be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 58/100 (mixed): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has GEO gone up in the last year?
The GEO (GEO) is up 68.9% over the last 12 months and trades at $27.89, 14.9% below its 52-week high ($32.77). 52-week range: $13.26 – $32.77.
How volatile is GEO stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 36% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 28.6%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does GEO have U.S. government contracts?
Yes. Faro's register lists 1 contract; the most recent: Homeland Security, $54 M, Sep 15, 2026.
Is now a good time to buy GEO?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bearish technical bias, RSI 27 (oversold zone), price below its 50-day average and an estimated 53% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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