Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bearish | 40% | $64.55 +0.2% | $60.52 – $68.86 |
| 3 days | Strongly bearish | 40% | $64.86 +0.7% | $58.00 – $72.53 |
| 1 week | Strongly bearish | 39% | $65.17 +1.2% | $56.41 – $75.29 |
| 15 days | Strongly bearish | 39% | $65.95 +2.4% | $53.78 – $80.88 |
| 1 month | Strongly bearish | 39% | $67.70 +5.1% | $50.37 – $91.00 |
| 3 months | Bearish | 42% | $74.82 +16.2% | $44.83 – $124.87 |
Recent momentum: -22.3% over 20 days · -38.7% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
Prime contract to design and build 18 missile-tracking satellites (Tranche 3 / PWSA).
💡 RKLB's largest contract: it establishes the company as a national-security space prime.
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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