GD — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Price vs. growth and Faro seal. Most lacking: Business quality and Room to grow.
Worth $101 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $1.01 T.
Sales +13% last quarter (year over year) and +10% last fiscal year.
Gross margin 15%, operating margin 10%, return on equity 18%.
Free cash flow $4.6 B a year = 4.5% of its value.
Trades at 1.8× sales: 0.16 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net debt equal to 5% of its value.
Government contracts with firm money = 1.1% of its value · inside a Faro megatrend · insiders own 0.6%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): mid-range over 12 months (72%) · above its 200-day average · trailing the S&P 500 by 2 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year GD is up 8.4%. Over about two years: +27.2%.
- Today it sits 5.7% below its 52-week high ($395.97) and +19.5% above the low ($312.53).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 17.5%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 50% of days. Best day: +8.0%. Worst day: -4.2%.
- Annual volatility around 19%: in a normal year a ±19% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bullish | 61% | $373.64 +0.0% | $369.15 – $378.19 |
| 3 days | Strongly bullish | 62% | $374.00 +0.1% | $366.24 – $381.92 |
| 1 week | Strongly bullish | 63% | $374.36 +0.2% | $364.37 – $384.63 |
| 15 days | Strongly bullish | 63% | $375.26 +0.5% | $361.18 – $389.90 |
| 1 month | Strongly bullish | 63% | $377.26 +1.0% | $356.91 – $398.77 |
| 3 months | Bullish | 64% | $384.98 +3.1% | $349.72 – $423.79 |
Recent momentum: +12.6% over 20 days · -4.7% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 GD government contracts
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
General Dynamics Land Systems Inc., Sterling Heights, Michigan, was awarded a $135,940,076 modification (P00005) to contract W912CH-25-D-0050 to establish the pricing for procurement of the complete Stryker Enhanced Power Distribution Unit Version 2 Retrofit Kit.
💡 Worth 0.14% of the company's market value.
General Dynamics Mission Systems Scottsdale, Arizona, has been awarded a $88,064,639 ceiling increase modification P00080 to previously awarded contract for Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture in support of the Tracking and Transport ground segment systems engineering integration and development.
💡 Worth <0.1% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $58 M. Stock since the announcement: +7.8%.
General Dynamics Applied Physical Sciences Corp., Groton, Connecticut was awarded a $49,945,664 cost-plus-fixed-fee contract for Engineering and Technical Design to support Research and Development in the areas of platform-based development, prototyping and demonstration, advanced hull treatment design, acoustic…
💡 Worth <0.1% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $3 M. Stock since the announcement: +7.8%.
Modification to build two Virginia-class attack submarines.
💡 Massive naval backlog; submarine construction is multi-year demand that is hard to cancel.
Construction of Columbia-class ballistic missile submarine hulls (SSBN 828-832).
💡 Reinforces undersea nuclear deterrence; revenue locked in for years.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
Golden Dome: The shield and who builds it$185 billion per the Pentagon, $1.2 trillion per Congress's budget office. The most ambitious missile-defense program si…6 pp. · Free preview →
Defense budget 2027: The $1.5 trillion and where it goesThe largest U.S. military spending increase in generations: +44% in a year. Ships, missiles, drones, AI and Golden Dome.…6 pp. · Free preview →
Contracts Radar: Where $220 billion actually wentTwo months of federal contracts read one by one: 258 awards, which agencies pay, which companies get paid, how much mone…8 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about GD
Could GD be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 55/100 (mixed): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has GD gone up in the last year?
General Dynamics (GD) is up 8.4% over the last 12 months and trades at $373.46, 5.7% below its 52-week high ($395.97). 52-week range: $312.53 – $395.97.
How volatile is GD stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 19% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 17.5%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does GD have U.S. government contracts?
Yes. Faro's register lists 5 contracts; the most recent: Army, $136 M, Oct 26, 2026.
Is now a good time to buy GD?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: strongly bullish technical bias, RSI 87 (overbought zone), price above its 50-day average and an estimated 63% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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