WWD — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Price vs. growth and Balance sheet. Most lacking: Cash it generates and Faro seal.
Worth $18.9 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $189 B.
Sales +21% last quarter (year over year) and +7% last fiscal year · accelerating.
Gross margin 30%, operating margin 18%, return on equity 22%.
Free cash flow $187 M a year = 1.0% of its value.
Trades at 4.5× sales: 0.32 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net debt equal to 5% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · inside a Faro megatrend · insiders own 0.3%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): mid-range over 12 months (33%) · below its 200-day average · beating the S&P 500 by 6 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year WWD is up 20.4%. Over about two years: +95.0%.
- Today it sits 26.8% below its 52-week high ($436.44) and +24.0% above the low ($257.64).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 30.4%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 47% of days. Best day: +13.4%. Worst day: -7.6%.
- Annual volatility around 34%: in a normal year a ±34% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 44% | $320.00 +0.1% | $313.27 – $326.87 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 45% | $320.86 +0.4% | $309.26 – $332.89 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 45% | $321.72 +0.7% | $306.78 – $337.37 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 46% | $323.88 +1.3% | $302.82 – $346.39 |
| 1 month | Bearish | 48% | $328.68 +2.9% | $298.18 – $362.30 |
| 3 months | Bearish | 53% | $347.68 +8.8% | $293.71 – $411.57 |
Recent momentum: -4.0% over 20 days · -11.9% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 WWD government contracts
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
Woodward HRT Inc., Valencia, California, is being awarded $41,515,920 for a firm-fixed-price contract for the repair of 545 hydraulic power drive units supporting Navy/Marine/Air Force V-22 Osprey sustainment.
💡 Worth 0.23% of the company's market value. Stock since the announcement: -5%.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about WWD
Could WWD be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 60/100 (promising): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has WWD gone up in the last year?
Woodward (WWD) is up 20.4% over the last 12 months and trades at $319.57, 26.8% below its 52-week high ($436.44). 52-week range: $257.64 – $436.44.
How volatile is WWD stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 34% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 30.4%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does WWD have U.S. government contracts?
Yes. Faro's register lists 1 contract; the most recent: Navy, $42 M, Sep 18, 2026.
Is now a good time to buy WWD?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bearish technical bias, RSI 42, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 48% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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