VVX — analysis and forecast
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year VVX is up 45.9%. Over about two years: +34.4%.
- Today it sits 8.4% below its 52-week high ($90.81) and +59.5% above the low ($52.16).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 25.0%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 56% of days. Best day: +12.8%. Worst day: -8.8%.
- Annual volatility around 41%: in a normal year a ±41% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bullish | 62% | $83.25 +0.1% | $81.11 – $85.44 |
| 3 days | Strongly bullish | 62% | $83.35 +0.2% | $79.68 – $87.18 |
| 1 week | Strongly bullish | 63% | $83.45 +0.3% | $78.74 – $88.44 |
| 15 days | Strongly bullish | 64% | $83.69 +0.6% | $77.09 – $90.86 |
| 1 month | Strongly bullish | 65% | $84.24 +1.3% | $74.79 – $94.89 |
| 3 months | Strongly bullish | 66% | $86.36 +3.8% | $70.27 – $106.14 |
Recent momentum: +17.4% over 20 days · -1.4% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 VVX government contracts
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
International aset recovery
💡 Worth 6.56% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $158 M. Stock since the announcement: +2.5%.
V2X Systems LLC, Colorado Springs, Colorado, has been awarded an undefinitized contract action with a not-to-exceed ceiling price of $231,757,508 modification (P00012) to previously awarded for base support services in support of the Iraq F-16 program.
💡 Worth 9.63% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $116 M. Stock since the announcement: +5.3%.
Warfighter-training readiness solutions (wtrs): deobligation, reallocation, incremental funding.
💡 Worth 1.20% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $29 M. Stock since the announcement: +0%.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
The market's memory: 100 years of crashes and recoveriesSince 1927 the S&P 500 has fallen more than 20% about a dozen times. It always recovered, but sometimes it took 25 y…6 pp. · Free preview →
Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about VVX
How much has VVX gone up in the last year?
V2X (VVX) is up 45.9% over the last 12 months and trades at $83.20, 8.4% below its 52-week high ($90.81). 52-week range: $52.16 – $90.81.
How volatile is VVX stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 41% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 25.0%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does VVX have U.S. government contracts?
Yes. Faro's register lists 3 contracts; the most recent: Department of Justice, $158 M, Sep 23, 2026.
Is now a good time to buy VVX?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: strongly bullish technical bias, RSI 94 (overbought zone), price above its 50-day average and an estimated 65% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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