T — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Cash it generates and Business quality. Most lacking: Balance sheet and Sales engine.
Worth $144 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $1.44 T.
Sales +5% last quarter (year over year) and +3% last fiscal year.
Gross margin 60%, operating margin 25%, return on equity 12%.
Free cash flow $12.0 B a year = 8.3% of its value.
Trades at 1.1× sales: 0.28 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net debt equal to 118% of its value.
Government contracts with firm money = 0.1% of its value · outside the Faro megatrends · insiders own 0.1%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): near its 12-month low · below its 200-day average · trailing the S&P 500 by 23 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year T is down 13.1%. Over about two years: -2.2%.
- Today it sits 26.3% below its 52-week high ($29.10) and +4.7% above the low ($20.48).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 29.6%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 50% of days. Best day: +5.1%. Worst day: -10.8%.
- Annual volatility around 37%: in a normal year a ±37% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bearish | 40% | $21.44 -0.0% | $20.95 – $21.94 |
| 3 days | Strongly bearish | 39% | $21.44 -0.0% | $20.59 – $22.32 |
| 1 week | Strongly bearish | 39% | $21.44 -0.0% | $20.35 – $22.58 |
| 15 days | Strongly bearish | 38% | $21.43 -0.0% | $19.92 – $23.06 |
| 1 month | Strongly bearish | 38% | $21.42 -0.1% | $19.26 – $23.82 |
| 3 months | Strongly bearish | 37% | $21.38 -0.3% | $17.79 – $25.70 |
Recent momentum: -11.6% over 20 days · -9.9% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 T government contracts
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
Eo 14398 enterprise data network services carrier b
💡 Worth 0.11% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $153 M. Stock since the announcement: -14.2%.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about T
Could T be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 50/100 (mixed): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has T fallen in the last year?
AT&T (T) is down 13.1% over the last 12 months and trades at $21.44, 26.3% below its 52-week high ($29.10). 52-week range: $20.48 – $29.10.
How volatile is T stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 37% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 29.6%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does T have U.S. government contracts?
Yes. Faro's register lists 1 contract; the most recent: Veterans Affairs, $153 M, Oct 1, 2026.
Is now a good time to buy T?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: strongly bearish technical bias, RSI 39, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 38% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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