SAIC — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Room to grow and Cash it generates. Most lacking: Balance sheet and Sales engine.
Worth $6.4 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $64.1 B.
Sales +6% last quarter (year over year) and -3% last fiscal year · accelerating.
Gross margin 13%, operating margin 8%, return on equity 26%.
Free cash flow $505 M a year = 7.9% of its value.
Trades at 0.9× sales with no growth to back it.
Net debt equal to 40% of its value.
Government contracts with firm money = 4.7% of its value · inside a Faro megatrend · insiders own 0.8%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): near its 12-month high · above its 200-day average · beating the S&P 500 by 56 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year SAIC is up 67.1%. Over about two years: +4.6%.
- It is practically at its 52-week high ($152.91).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 28.1%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 55% of days. Best day: +16.3%. Worst day: -16.0%.
- Annual volatility around 29%: in a normal year a ±29% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bullish | 61% | $152.92 +0.0% | $150.13 – $155.76 |
| 3 days | Strongly bullish | 61% | $152.95 +0.0% | $148.15 – $157.91 |
| 1 week | Strongly bullish | 62% | $152.98 +0.0% | $146.81 – $159.41 |
| 15 days | Strongly bullish | 62% | $153.05 +0.1% | $144.40 – $162.22 |
| 1 month | Strongly bullish | 63% | $153.20 +0.2% | $140.81 – $166.68 |
| 3 months | Strongly bullish | 62% | $153.79 +0.6% | $132.88 – $177.98 |
Recent momentum: +20.5% over 20 days · +20.8% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 SAIC government contracts
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
Tcloud task order 07: the internal revenue service (irs) intends to issue a task order for the exercise of an option period under single-award blanket purchase agreement (bpa) no. 2032h5-23-a-00010.
💡 Worth 0.63% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $39 M. Stock since the announcement: +16.4%.
Collaborative operations for battlespace resilient architecture cobra
💡 Worth 0.77% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $48 M. Stock since the announcement: +15.8%.
Modification to add incremental funding and realign.
💡 Worth 0.44% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $28 M. Stock since the announcement: +14.5%.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
Golden Dome: The shield and who builds it$185 billion per the Pentagon, $1.2 trillion per Congress's budget office. The most ambitious missile-defense program si…6 pp. · Free preview →
Defense budget 2027: The $1.5 trillion and where it goesThe largest U.S. military spending increase in generations: +44% in a year. Ships, missiles, drones, AI and Golden Dome.…6 pp. · Free preview →
Contracts Radar: Where $220 billion actually wentTwo months of federal contracts read one by one: 258 awards, which agencies pay, which companies get paid, how much mone…8 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about SAIC
Could SAIC be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 54/100 (mixed): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has SAIC gone up in the last year?
Science Applications International (SAIC) is up 67.1% over the last 12 months and trades at $152.91, practically at its 52-week high. 52-week range: $82.22 – $152.91.
How volatile is SAIC stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 29% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 28.1%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does SAIC have U.S. government contracts?
Yes. Faro's register lists 3 contracts; the most recent: Department of the Treasury, $39 M, Sep 30, 2026.
Is now a good time to buy SAIC?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: strongly bullish technical bias, RSI 90 (overbought zone), price above its 50-day average and an estimated 63% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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