Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Neutral | 48% | $94.91 +0.2% | $90.09 – $99.98 |
| 3 days | Neutral | 48% | $95.36 +0.7% | $87.13 – $104.36 |
| 1 week | Neutral | 49% | $95.81 +1.2% | $85.28 – $107.65 |
| 15 days | Neutral | 51% | $96.96 +2.4% | $82.23 – $114.33 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 54% | $99.53 +5.1% | $78.40 – $126.37 |
| 3 months | Bullish | 60% | $110.00 +16.2% | $72.75 – $166.33 |
Recent momentum: -6.9% over 20 days · -11.5% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
CHIPS Act grant to manufacture advanced chips on U.S. soil.
💡 Direct public money to reshore chip manufacturing.
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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