PSN — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Room to grow and Cash it generates. Most lacking: Sales engine and Business quality.
Worth $5.6 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $55.9 B.
Sales +2% last quarter (year over year) and -6% last fiscal year · accelerating.
Gross margin 22%, operating margin 6%, return on equity 8%.
Free cash flow $343 M a year = 6.1% of its value.
Trades at 0.9× sales with no growth to back it.
Net debt equal to 22% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · inside a Faro megatrend · insiders own 1.5%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): mid-range over 12 months (32%) · below its 200-day average · trailing the S&P 500 by 47 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year PSN is down 36.2%. Over about two years: -51.7%.
- Today it sits 38.9% below its 52-week high ($86.61) and +31.3% above the low ($40.32).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 53.4%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 50% of days. Best day: +8.3%. Worst day: -35.0%.
- Annual volatility around 84%: in a normal year a ±84% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bullish | 58% | $52.87 -0.1% | $50.16 – $55.74 |
| 3 days | Strongly bullish | 57% | $52.72 -0.4% | $48.12 – $57.76 |
| 1 week | Strongly bullish | 57% | $52.57 -0.7% | $46.72 – $59.15 |
| 15 days | Bullish | 54% | $52.18 -1.4% | $44.17 – $61.66 |
| 1 month | Bullish | 50% | $51.35 -3.0% | $40.33 – $65.39 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 42% | $48.30 -8.8% | $31.78 – $73.42 |
Recent momentum: +25.7% over 20 days · +11.4% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for PSN. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
The market's memory: 100 years of crashes and recoveriesSince 1927 the S&P 500 has fallen more than 20% about a dozen times. It always recovered, but sometimes it took 25 y…6 pp. · Free preview →
Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about PSN
Could PSN be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 53/100 (mixed): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has PSN fallen in the last year?
Parsons (PSN) is down 36.2% over the last 12 months and trades at $52.95, 38.9% below its 52-week high ($86.61). 52-week range: $40.32 – $86.61.
How volatile is PSN stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 84% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 53.4%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does PSN have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy PSN?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bullish technical bias, RSI 83 (overbought zone), price above its 50-day average and an estimated 50% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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