PICS — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Room to grow and Business quality. Most lacking: Cash it generates and Faro seal.
Worth $880 M. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $8.8 B.
Sales +67% last quarter (year over year) and +85% last fiscal year · slowing.
Gross margin 84%, operating margin 43%, return on equity —.
No free cash flow data.
Trades at 0.1× sales: 0.00 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net cash equal to 349% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · inside a Faro megatrend · insiders own 50.5%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): near its 12-month low · below its 200-day average · trailing the S&P 500 by 73 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the 191 sessions we have for PICS it moved -64.3%.
- Today it sits 64.3% below its 52-week high ($19.00) and +0.0% above the low ($6.79).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 64.3%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 45% of days. Best day: +27.8%. Worst day: -36.4%.
- Annual volatility around 109%: in a normal year a ±109% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bearish | 35% | $6.77 -0.2% | $6.32 – $7.26 |
| 3 days | Strongly bearish | 34% | $6.74 -0.7% | $5.98 – $7.59 |
| 1 week | Strongly bearish | 32% | $6.71 -1.2% | $5.75 – $7.82 |
| 15 days | Strongly bearish | 30% | $6.63 -2.4% | $5.33 – $8.24 |
| 1 month | Strongly bearish | 27% | $6.46 -4.9% | $4.71 – $8.85 |
| 3 months | Strongly bearish | 19% | $5.84 -13.9% | $3.39 – $10.09 |
Recent momentum: -41.6% over 20 days · -43.7% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for PICS. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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Could PICS be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 83/100 (strong multibagger dna): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has PICS fallen in the last year?
PicS (PICS) is down 64.3% over the period with data and trades at $6.79, 64.3% below its 52-week high ($19.00). 52-week range: $6.79 – $19.00.
How volatile is PICS stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 109% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 64.3%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does PICS have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy PICS?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: strongly bearish technical bias, RSI 16 (oversold zone), price below its 50-day average and an estimated 27% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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