LHX — analysis and forecast
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year LHX is down 5.7%. Over about two years: +12.9%.
- Today it sits 26.3% below its 52-week high ($378.48) and +19.4% above the low ($233.63).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 38.3%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 48% of days. Best day: +6.8%. Worst day: -8.6%.
- Annual volatility around 30%: in a normal year a ±30% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bullish | 60% | $279.03 +0.0% | $273.87 – $284.29 |
| 3 days | Strongly bullish | 60% | $279.16 +0.1% | $270.28 – $288.34 |
| 1 week | Strongly bullish | 60% | $279.30 +0.1% | $267.88 – $291.21 |
| 15 days | Bullish | 59% | $279.64 +0.2% | $263.61 – $296.65 |
| 1 month | Bullish | 57% | $280.39 +0.5% | $257.40 – $305.44 |
| 3 months | Bullish | 55% | $283.27 +1.5% | $244.25 – $328.52 |
Recent momentum: +17.8% over 20 days · -2.7% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 LHX government contracts
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
L3Harris Interstate Electronics Corp., Yorba Linda, California, is being awarded a $46,850,128 cost-plus-incentive-fee and cost-plus-fixed-fee contract for services and support for flight test instrumentation systems for the Trident II Strategic Weapon System.
💡 Worth <0.1% of the company's market value. Stock since the announcement: +9.2%.
L3Harris Fuzing and Ordnance Systems Inc., Cincinnati, Ohio, is awarded a $52,319,903 firm-fixed-price modification to previously-awarded contract N00174-26-C-1001 for proximity fuzes to upgrade the Advanced Precision Kill Weapon System.
💡 Worth 0.11% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $4 M. Stock since the announcement: +9.5%.
L3Harris Cincinnati Electronics Corp., Mason, Ohio, has been awarded a maximum $25,241,883 firm‐fixed‐price, indefinite-delivery requirements contract for Avenger Forward-Looking Infrareds.
💡 Worth <0.1% of the company's market value. Stock since the announcement: +5.2%.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
Golden Dome: The shield and who builds it$185 billion per the Pentagon, $1.2 trillion per Congress's budget office. The most ambitious missile-defense program si…6 pp. · Free preview →
Defense budget 2027: The $1.5 trillion and where it goesThe largest U.S. military spending increase in generations: +44% in a year. Ships, missiles, drones, AI and Golden Dome.…6 pp. · Free preview →
Contracts Radar: Where $220 billion actually wentTwo months of federal contracts read one by one: 258 awards, which agencies pay, which companies get paid, how much mone…8 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about LHX
How much has LHX fallen in the last year?
L3Harris Technologies (LHX) is down 5.7% over the last 12 months and trades at $278.96, 26.3% below its 52-week high ($378.48). 52-week range: $233.63 – $378.48.
How volatile is LHX stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 30% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 38.3%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does LHX have U.S. government contracts?
Yes. Faro's register lists 3 contracts; the most recent: Navy, $47 M, Oct 1, 2026.
Is now a good time to buy LHX?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bullish technical bias, RSI 87 (overbought zone), price above its 50-day average and an estimated 57% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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