KRMN — analysis and forecast
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year KRMN is down 54.3%.
- Today it sits 66.1% below its 52-week high ($115.29) and +29.8% above the low ($30.14).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 73.9%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 46% of days. Best day: +12.5%. Worst day: -13.6%.
- Annual volatility around 69%: in a normal year a ±69% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bullish | 55% | $39.15 +0.1% | $37.48 – $40.90 |
| 3 days | Bullish | 55% | $39.20 +0.2% | $36.34 – $42.28 |
| 1 week | Bullish | 54% | $39.25 +0.3% | $35.60 – $43.28 |
| 15 days | Bullish | 53% | $39.37 +0.6% | $34.29 – $45.21 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 51% | $39.64 +1.3% | $32.44 – $48.43 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 48% | $40.67 +3.9% | $28.75 – $57.53 |
Recent momentum: +18.5% over 20 days · -32.8% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 KRMN government contracts
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
Seemann Composites LLC., Gulfport, Mississippi (a wholly owned subsidiary of Karman Space & Defense), Huntington Beach, California, is awarded a $31,315,866, firm-fixed-price and cost-plus-fixed-fee, term, indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity contract for manufacturing activities in support of Virginia Class…
💡 Worth 0.64% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $3 M. Stock since the announcement: +6.4%.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
The market's memory: 100 years of crashes and recoveriesSince 1927 the S&P 500 has fallen more than 20% about a dozen times. It always recovered, but sometimes it took 25 y…6 pp. · Free preview →
Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about KRMN
How much has KRMN fallen in the last year?
Karman (KRMN) is down 54.3% over the last 12 months and trades at $39.13, 66.1% below its 52-week high ($115.29). 52-week range: $30.14 – $115.29.
How volatile is KRMN stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 69% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 73.9%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does KRMN have U.S. government contracts?
Yes. Faro's register lists 1 contract; the most recent: Navy, $31 M, Sep 14, 2026.
Is now a good time to buy KRMN?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bullish technical bias, RSI 76 (overbought zone), price above its 50-day average and an estimated 51% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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