HIMS — analysis and forecast
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year HIMS is down 42.7%. Over about two years: +21.6%.
- Today it sits 44.5% below its 52-week high ($45.46) and +73.8% above the low ($14.52).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 68.1%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 44% of days. Best day: +40.8%. Worst day: -16.0%.
- Annual volatility around 80%: in a normal year a ±80% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 41% | $25.25 +0.0% | $24.01 – $26.55 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 41% | $25.27 +0.1% | $23.16 – $27.57 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 41% | $25.29 +0.2% | $22.60 – $28.30 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 42% | $25.34 +0.4% | $21.62 – $29.70 |
| 1 month | Bearish | 42% | $25.45 +0.8% | $20.22 – $32.04 |
| 3 months | Bearish | 43% | $25.87 +2.5% | $17.36 – $38.55 |
Recent momentum: -14.9% over 20 days · -20.1% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for HIMS. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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How much has HIMS fallen in the last year?
Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) is down 42.7% over the last 12 months and trades at $25.24, 44.5% below its 52-week high ($45.46). 52-week range: $14.52 – $45.46.
How volatile is HIMS stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 80% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 68.1%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does HIMS have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy HIMS?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bearish technical bias, RSI 34, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 42% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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