EROK — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Sales engine and Room to grow. Most lacking: Cash it generates and Faro seal.
Worth $2.5 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $24.9 B.
Sales +74% last quarter (year over year) and — last fiscal year.
Gross margin 68%, operating margin -128%, return on equity —.
No free cash flow data.
Trades at 23.5× sales: 0.32 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net cash equal to 2% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · outside the Faro megatrends · insiders own 20.4%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): near its 12-month low · below its 200-day average · trailing the S&P 500 by 20 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the 118 sessions we have for EROK it moved -13.3%.
- Today it sits 28.8% below its 52-week high ($26.60) and +8.5% above the low ($17.46).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 34.4%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 42% of days. Best day: +7.8%. Worst day: -8.5%.
- Annual volatility around 49%: in a normal year a ±49% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 42% | $18.92 -0.1% | $18.35 – $19.50 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 41% | $18.87 -0.4% | $17.90 – $19.90 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 40% | $18.83 -0.6% | $17.58 – $20.16 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 40% | $18.71 -1.2% | $16.99 – $20.61 |
| 1 month | Bearish | 38% | $18.47 -2.5% | $16.05 – $21.24 |
| 3 months | Bearish | 34% | $17.55 -7.3% | $13.77 – $22.37 |
Recent momentum: -12.3% over 20 days · -17.5% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for EROK. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
The market's memory: 100 years of crashes and recoveriesSince 1927 the S&P 500 has fallen more than 20% about a dozen times. It always recovered, but sometimes it took 25 y…6 pp. · Free preview →
Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about EROK
Could EROK be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 74/100 (promising): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has EROK fallen in the last year?
EagleRock Land LLC (EROK) is down 13.3% over the period with data and trades at $18.94, 28.8% below its 52-week high ($26.60). 52-week range: $17.46 – $26.60.
How volatile is EROK stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 49% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 34.4%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does EROK have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy EROK?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bearish technical bias, RSI 42, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 38% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
🔦 Keep analyzing
Other stocks Faro watches