DAVE — analysis and forecast
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year DAVE is up 43.6%. Over about two years: +754.5%.
- Today it sits 27.3% below its 52-week high ($442.53) and +106.4% above the low ($155.92).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 36.9%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 55% of days. Best day: +17.5%. Worst day: -15.1%.
- Annual volatility around 70%: in a normal year a ±70% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 44% | $322.65 +0.2% | $308.72 – $337.20 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 44% | $324.19 +0.7% | $300.34 – $349.93 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 46% | $325.73 +1.2% | $295.13 – $359.51 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 48% | $329.64 +2.4% | $286.71 – $378.99 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 52% | $338.38 +5.1% | $276.44 – $414.21 |
| 3 months | Bullish | 60% | $373.97 +16.2% | $263.48 – $530.80 |
Recent momentum: -12.8% over 20 days · +1.2% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for DAVE. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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How much has DAVE gone up in the last year?
Dave (DAVE) is up 43.6% over the last 12 months and trades at $321.88, 27.3% below its 52-week high ($442.53). 52-week range: $155.92 – $442.53.
How volatile is DAVE stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 70% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 36.9%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does DAVE have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy DAVE?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bearish technical bias, RSI 37, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 52% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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