CELH — analysis and forecast
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year CELH is down 50.2%. Over about two years: -3.6%.
- Today it sits 50.3% below its 52-week high ($60.23) and +26.0% above the low ($23.77).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 60.5%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 48% of days. Best day: +16.8%. Worst day: -24.8%.
- Annual volatility around 64%: in a normal year a ±64% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bullish | 56% | $29.96 -0.0% | $28.77 – $31.19 |
| 3 days | Bullish | 56% | $29.95 -0.0% | $27.93 – $32.12 |
| 1 week | Bullish | 55% | $29.95 -0.0% | $27.36 – $32.78 |
| 15 days | Bullish | 52% | $29.94 -0.1% | $26.35 – $34.02 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 49% | $29.91 -0.2% | $24.86 – $36.00 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 45% | $29.82 -0.5% | $21.64 – $41.10 |
Recent momentum: +8.9% over 20 days · +7.9% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for CELH. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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How much has CELH fallen in the last year?
Celsius (CELH) is down 50.2% over the last 12 months and trades at $29.96, 50.3% below its 52-week high ($60.23). 52-week range: $23.77 – $60.23.
How volatile is CELH stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 64% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 60.5%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does CELH have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy CELH?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bullish technical bias, RSI 63, price above its 50-day average and an estimated 49% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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