CACI — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Price vs. growth and Faro seal. Most lacking: Balance sheet and Sales engine.
Worth $15.0 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $150 B.
Sales +8% last quarter (year over year) and +11% last fiscal year.
Gross margin 34%, operating margin 10%, return on equity 13%.
Free cash flow $620 M a year = 4.1% of its value.
Trades at 1.5× sales: 0.16 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net debt equal to 33% of its value.
Government contracts with firm money = 2.4% of its value · inside a Faro megatrend · insiders own 1.2%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): near its 12-month high · above its 200-day average · beating the S&P 500 by 9 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year CACI is up 20.8%. Over about two years: +23.0%.
- It is practically at its 52-week high ($680.50).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 33.4%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 50% of days. Best day: +21.4%. Worst day: -8.5%.
- Annual volatility around 47%: in a normal year a ±47% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bullish | 60% | $680.78 +0.0% | $661.09 – $701.06 |
| 3 days | Strongly bullish | 60% | $681.35 +0.1% | $647.58 – $716.88 |
| 1 week | Strongly bullish | 61% | $681.91 +0.2% | $638.60 – $728.16 |
| 15 days | Strongly bullish | 61% | $683.33 +0.4% | $622.77 – $749.78 |
| 1 month | Strongly bullish | 62% | $686.45 +0.9% | $600.07 – $785.27 |
| 3 months | Strongly bullish | 62% | $698.52 +2.6% | $553.37 – $881.74 |
Recent momentum: +9.0% over 20 days · +5.6% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 CACI government contracts
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
12-month extension
💡 Worth 1.47% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $216 M. Stock since the announcement: +9.3%.
The purpose of this award is to procure servicenow development & architecture support.
💡 Worth 0.21% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $31 M. Stock since the announcement: +9.3%.
Cdm defend group a bridge task order - modification is to fully fund 33 rips under clins 2004 and 2005
💡 Worth 0.47% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $69 M. Stock since the announcement: +7.5%.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
Golden Dome: The shield and who builds it$185 billion per the Pentagon, $1.2 trillion per Congress's budget office. The most ambitious missile-defense program si…6 pp. · Free preview →
Defense budget 2027: The $1.5 trillion and where it goesThe largest U.S. military spending increase in generations: +44% in a year. Ships, missiles, drones, AI and Golden Dome.…6 pp. · Free preview →
Contracts Radar: Where $220 billion actually wentTwo months of federal contracts read one by one: 258 awards, which agencies pay, which companies get paid, how much mone…8 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about CACI
Could CACI be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 58/100 (mixed): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has CACI gone up in the last year?
CACI International (CACI) is up 20.8% over the last 12 months and trades at $680.50, practically at its 52-week high. 52-week range: $440.76 – $680.50.
How volatile is CACI stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 47% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 33.4%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does CACI have U.S. government contracts?
Yes. Faro's register lists 3 contracts; the most recent: Homeland Security, $216 M, Sep 29, 2026.
Is now a good time to buy CACI?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: strongly bullish technical bias, RSI 83 (overbought zone), price above its 50-day average and an estimated 62% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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