ALMR — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Balance sheet and Sales engine. Most lacking: Cash it generates and Business quality.
Worth $2.0 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $20.1 B.
Sales +82% last quarter (year over year) and — last fiscal year.
Gross margin 59%, operating margin -46%, return on equity —.
No free cash flow data.
Trades at 20.0× sales: 0.24 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net cash equal to 10% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · inside a Faro megatrend · insiders own 22.2%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): mid-range over 12 months (49%) · above its 200-day average · beating the S&P 500 by 28 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the 137 sessions we have for ALMR it moved +31.5%.
- Today it sits 24.1% below its 52-week high ($38.13) and +51.6% above the low ($19.09).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 38.3%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 50% of days. Best day: +30.7%. Worst day: -15.4%.
- Annual volatility around 93%: in a normal year a ±93% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Neutral | 49% | $29.00 +0.2% | $27.36 – $30.74 |
| 3 days | Neutral | 49% | $29.11 +0.6% | $26.32 – $32.21 |
| 1 week | Neutral | 50% | $29.23 +1.0% | $25.66 – $33.30 |
| 15 days | Neutral | 51% | $29.53 +2.0% | $24.56 – $35.50 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 53% | $30.18 +4.3% | $23.11 – $39.42 |
| 3 months | Bullish | 57% | $32.83 +13.4% | $20.67 – $52.14 |
Recent momentum: -24.1% over 20 days · +1.7% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for ALMR. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
The market's memory: 100 years of crashes and recoveriesSince 1927 the S&P 500 has fallen more than 20% about a dozen times. It always recovered, but sometimes it took 25 y…6 pp. · Free preview →
Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about ALMR
Could ALMR be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 77/100 (strong multibagger dna): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has ALMR gone up in the last year?
Alamar Biosciences (ALMR) is up 31.5% over the period with data and trades at $28.94, 24.1% below its 52-week high ($38.13). 52-week range: $19.09 – $38.13.
How volatile is ALMR stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 93% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 38.3%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does ALMR have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy ALMR?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: neutral technical bias, RSI 61, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 53% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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